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2013년 12월 4일 수요일

About 'arsenal breaking news now'|...massacre of May 2003 in the forest near the Curaray. Paradoxically, this massacre brought news of the existence of hidden, uncontacted groups. Will some of the oil money...







About 'arsenal breaking news now'|...massacre of May 2003 in the forest near the Curaray. Paradoxically, this massacre brought news of the existence of hidden, uncontacted groups. Will some of the oil money...








With               a               growing               expectation               that               the               Toronto               Blue               Jays               will               reach               post-season               next               year               with               the               extra               wild-card               slot,               time               for               predicting               the               unpredictable...



               THE               STARTERS:               

               Let's               start               off               with               the               Blue               Jays               starting               rotation.

LHP               Ricky               Romero               truly               had               a               great               opportunity               to               prove               himself               to               stay               number               one               in               Toronto               last               year,               and               did               a               heck               of               a               job               considering               he               was               now               in               a               position               that               one               of               today's               top               pitchers,               RHP               Roy               Halladay,               once               held.

Romero               throws               both               his               2-seam               and               4-seam               fastballs               in               the               low               to               mid-90's,               a               curveball               that               sits               in               the               mid               to               high-70's,               a               decent               changeup               that               can               vary               from               low               to               high-80's,               and               a               slider               that               averages               around               the               mid-80's.

He               continues               to               improve               his               game               throughout               his               career,               mainly               focusing               on               control               issues               as               he               has               walked               an               average               of               80               batters               per               year               in               his               short               three               years               in               the               big               leagues               (have               to               walk               a               few               to               go               deep,               which               he               does               a               lot).

In               all,               Romero               ended               the               year               with               a               15-11               record,               2.99               ERA,               178               strikeouts,               and               80               walks               over               225               innings               of               work.

He's               also               managed               to               land               in               the               top               10               for               AL's               Cy               Young               Award,               finishing               behind               LHP               Gio               Gonzalez               (who               signed               with               the               Nats               recently).

So               with               an               improving               career,               and               the               thought               of               an               improving               top-3,               I               think               he               can               finally               make               the               push               and               show               how               truly               great               he               could               be,               in               2012               and               for               a               good               number               of               years               to               come.
               Next               up,               LHP               Brandon               Morrow               retains               his               spot               at               number               2,               with               a               devastating               hit'               em               up               or               shut               em'               down               result               from               last               year.

Looking               at               his               numbers,               one               could               be               easily               fooled               into               thinking               that               Morrow               doesn't               quite               have               the               stuff               of               an               elite               pitcher.

The               lefty               from               Cali               (not               SoCal!)               finished               the               latest               season               with               a               11-11               record               in               30               starts.

His               ERA               was               a               tad               high               at               4.72               over               179               innings,               but               he               still               managed               to               fan               203               of               the               777               batters               he               faced.

The               biggest               problem               I               can               figure               is               his               stamina               late               in               games               because               he's               has               the               talent               to               be               a               superstar,               but               lacks               the               ability               to               go               deep               into               games               (the               guy               has               diabetes               too.)               His               fastball,               which               he               commands               fairly               well               averages               in               the               high-90's               and               has               been               clocked               at               100               mph               on               occasion.

He               also               works               a               variety               of               breaking               pitches               (which               he               says               he               struggles               with               the               most               for               consistency,a               huge               problem               for               him)               such               as               a               slider,               change-up,               and               a               nasty               curveball.

I               think               he'll               see               a               steady               rise               of               strikeouts,               given               that               the               American               League               doesn't               clue               into               his               tendencies               to               throw               low               and               away               (in               an               attempt               to               get               hitters               to               chase),               plus               he               fixed               that               nasty               problem               of               not               mixing               it               up               enough.

Point               of               the               matter               is               that               the               Blue               Jays               can               expect               to               see               a               slight               rise               in               his               usual               numbers               (strikeouts,walks,innings),               but               if               the               bullpen               behind               him               doesn't               perform               he               might               be               in               a               world               of               trouble.

Better               option               would               be               for               him               to               harness               his               raw               talent               finally,               not               likely               now.
               Given               that               the               Blue               Jays               still               have               faith               in               letting               LHP               Brett               Cecil               into               the               starting               rotation               next               season,               you               better               believe               he's               got               a               few               issues               to               address.

The               biggest               concern               would               be               his               mechanics,               which               have               suffered               from               consistency               throughout               the               2011               season.

His               fastball               seen               a               slight               drop               in               velocity               last               season               going               from               low               90's               on               average               to               88-89               mph.

Cecil               has               also               been               having               troubles               keeping               his               composure               when               attempting               to               control               an               arsenal               of               pitches.

Of               course               everyone's               talking               about               the               weight               issue,               weighing               235               lb               at               6'1               is               not               ideal               for               a               fit               MLB               pitcher,               but               can               be               overcome.

With               a               4-11               record,               4.37               ERA,               87               K's               and               48               BB's,               all               over               123               innings               you               can               bet               he'll               be               back               with               a               return               to               self               or               better               season.

One               would               think               if               he               were               to               slump               early,               the               Blue               Jays               would               option               someone               from               Triple-A               up               to               the               majors               in               search               of               a               replacement               starter               (or               maybe               this               could               be               McGowan's               chance)               till               he               does,               or               doesn't               return               to               form.

It               really               could               go               either               way,               so               watch               out               for               Cecil               and               his               part               in               the               Blue               Jays               rotation.
               The               giant               upcoming               sophomore               season               of               RHP               Henderson               Alvarez               could               not               look               brighter.

While               posting               a               1-3               record               with               a               3.53               ERA,               Alvarez               has               become               a               huge               piece               in               the               future               of               the               Blue               Jays               pitching               rotation.

Manager               John               Farrell               has               nothing               but               good               things               to               say               about               this               guy,               whether               it's               improving               his               game               through               mechanics,               or               mentally               adjusting               to               the               major               hitters.

Remember               that               this               guy               pretty               much               jumped               from               Double-A               to               the               MLB               within               months.

Alvarez's               fastball               has               averaged               around               the               high-90's,               his               plus               change-up               has               some               nice               break               to               it,               but               the               slider               is               still               in               the               works.

This               summer               should               bring               about               some               positive               changes               to               his               routine               as               he'll               probably               be               staying               in               the               big-league's               so               long               as               he               continues               to               improve.

So               look-out               for               this               21-year               old               righty-throwin'               Venezuelan,               as               I               suspect               good               things               in               2012               while               still               realizing               he's               a               fresh               face               to               the               league.
               How               RHP               Dustin               McGowan               can               still               throw               at               a               high               level               is               beyond               me.

After               the               three               year               injury               plagued               funk               he               suffered,               McGowan               bounced               back               last               season               and               managed               to               hang               around               in               Toronto               as               a               starter.

Since               most               teams               don't               have               the               flex               of               the               Blue               Jays               5th               and               final               spot               this               will               be               hard               for               him               to               hang               on               to               if               he               manages               to               slip               into               a               bad               groove.

He               finished               0-2               in               4               starts,               working               21               innings.

He               managed               20               strikeouts               and               13               walks,               but               his               ERA               was               an               unimpressive               6.43.

This               guy               really               needs               to               settle               into               a               spot               and               pitch               a               few               games               before               he'll               feel               confident,               but               he'll               always               be               looking               to               move               up               should               someone               else               in               the               rotation               become               injured               or               suffer               a               bad               stretch.

Realistically               though,               McGowan               will               probably               see               a               little               over               a               100               innings               and               could               possibly               be               slipped               into               a               newly               strengthened               bullpen.
               Honorable               mention               goes               to               RHP               Kyle               Drabek               who               got               the               call-up               last               year               toward               the               end               of               the               season               and               ended               the               season               with               a               4-5               record.



               THE               BULLPEN:
               If               we're               going               to               talk               about               weaknesses               in               the               Blue               Jay               organization,               the               bullpen               is               #1.

So               far               the               off-season,               and               GM               Alex               Anthopoulos,               have               been               kind               to               the               second               half               of               Toronto's               pitching               staff.

This               half,               which               makes               an               AL               team               a               great               one               (LAA,               DET,               NYY,               TEX,               etc)               has               taken               a               huge               leap               with               the               trade               involving               the               departing               RHP               Nestor               Molina               to               the               White               Sox,               and               the               addition               of               All-Star               closer               RHP               Sergio               Santos.

This               could               not               be               better               news               for               Blue               Jays               fans,               as               they               have               severely               needed               a               secure               and               reliable               closer               for               years,               now               they               have               one.

Coming               off               a               red-hot               season               for               the               struggling               White               Sox,               Santos               finished               with               30               saves,               a               4-5               record,               92               strikeouts               against               29               walks,               and               an               ERA               of               3.55               with               a               BAA               of               .181               over               63               innings.

His               main               arsenal               is               his               high-90's               fastball               and               a               nasty               slider,               but               he's               known               to               thrown               in               the               odd               change-up               and               curve               when               necessary.

With               Santos               in               the               closer               spot               the               9th               inning               is               now               sound               in               Toronto,               the               rest               should               fall               into               place               nicely.
               RHP               Casey               Janssen               had               a               great               year               in               2011               working               the               pen               for               the               Blue               Jays,               working               a               6-0               record               over               55               game               appearances.

His               ability               to               get               hitters               to               pop-up               and               hit               into               Toronto               defense               resulted               in               an               ERA               of               2.26               showing               complete               control               over               his               opponents.

He               has               a               very               valuable               job               if               he               should               land               in               the               set-up               spot,               but               he's               still               a               long               reliever               threat.

Look               for               Janssen               to               hold               the               group               together               and               show               the               new               guys               the               ropes               in               Toronto.

Bold
               The               Blue               Jays               still               have               a               few               familiar               faces               other               than               Casey               to               mention               in               RHP               Carlos               Villanueva,               and               RHP               Jesse               Litsch               who               will               both               see               plenty               of               opportunities               to               stick               their               noses               in               and               make               an               impact.

Both               have               also               flirted               with               the               starting               rotation               so               who               knows               with               McGowan               still               easing               back               into               the               MLB               and               Cecil               being               on               thin-ice.

Look               to               these               guys               for               there               usual               numbers,               maybe               with               Janssen               seeing               a               slip               in               his               ERA               considering               the               changes               happening               around               Toronto.
               A               couple               of               young               guns               have               arrived               in               Toronto               also(I'll               get               into               other               young               pitchers               in               a               prospect               blog),               RHP               Joel               Carreno               and               LHP               Luis               Perez.

Both               pitchers               have               shown               promise               in               their               own               right               but               lack               of               MLB               experience               will               have               an               effect               on               2012               for               them.

The               off-season               should               be               kind               to               both               as               they               will               settle               into               their               new               team               and               find               a               home               in               the               pen.

Perez               is               good               for               a               high               ground-ball               rate               and               Carreno               for               some               nasty               pitch               combinations,               but               both               lack               the               control               over               their               game               to               make               a               huge               impact               in               the               ranks.

Recent               additions               RHP               Francisco               Cordero               and               LHP               Darren               Oliver               add               the               depth               that               this               bullpen               needed,               and               round               out               a               great               pitching               staff               to               contend               with               teams               like               Boston,               New               York,               Detroit,               and               the               Rays.









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